Samsung Electronics: Both the 5-day and 20-day trends point downward. Check continued weakness and recovery conditions before relying on a rebound.
Changes after the data date are not included. A report published today does not turn older observations into current market prices.
02 · Scenario analysis and responses
Horizon: 5 trading days · full path: 10 trading days · upper/lower thresholds: ±1% Assuming no position: Remain in cash / Assuming an existing position: Consider retaining exposure
Action candidates are local model selections. Card frequencies summarize historical analogues; they are not current forecast probabilities. Scenario selection scores and day-over-day changes were not calculated in this run and are not displayed.
Horizon: 20 trading days · full path: 40 trading days · upper/lower thresholds: ±2% Assuming no position: Remain in cash / Assuming an existing position: Consider retaining exposure
Action candidates are local model selections. Card frequencies summarize historical analogues; they are not current forecast probabilities. Scenario selection scores and day-over-day changes were not calculated in this run and are not displayed.
RT5 · analogue frequency rank 1
Sustained decline
Historical analogues7/20 cases
Reference share35.0%
Observation threshold±1%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when only the lower threshold is reached and the path ends at or below it.
Check conditions for reducing exposure or remaining in cash before relying on a rebound.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 7 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
RT1 · analogue frequency rank 2
Rise and hold
Historical analogues5/20 cases
Reference share25.0%
Observation threshold±1%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when the upper threshold is reached first and held without a major reversal.
Monitor whether the rise persists; reconsider the hold scenario if the reversal grows after the upper threshold is reached.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 5 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
RT6 · analogue frequency rank 2
Two-sided fluctuation
Historical analogues5/20 cases
Reference share25.0%
Observation threshold±1%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when both thresholds are reached with repeated crossings of the reference price.
Account for frequent reversals and transaction costs, and constrain risk rather than chase direction.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 5 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
RT2 · analogue frequency rank 4
Rise then reversal
Historical analogues3/20 cases
Reference share15.0%
Observation threshold±1%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when an initial rise is followed by a decline from the first peak of at least the barrier width.
Assess the size of the pullback and the risk of existing exposure before chasing further gains.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 3 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
RT3 · analogue frequency rank 5
Delayed rise
Historical analogues0/20 cases
Reference share0.0%
Observation threshold±1%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when the upper threshold is not reached in the first horizon but is reached in the next.
Do not immediately interpret an initial sideways move as failure; distinguish timing conditions through the end of the observation window.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 0 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
RT4 · analogue frequency rank 5
Fall then recovery
Historical analogues0/20 cases
Reference share0.0%
Observation threshold±1%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when the lower threshold is crossed first, followed by the upper threshold.
Do not assume a decline is a buying opportunity; assess new exposure conservatively until recovery is confirmed.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 0 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
RT7 · analogue frequency rank 5
Other paths
Historical analogues0/20 cases
Reference share0.0%
Observation threshold±1%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when none of the preceding six path rules applies.
Wait for further observations without forcing a directional view; RT7 itself is not an instruction to abstain.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 0 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
RT6 · analogue frequency rank 1
Two-sided fluctuation
Historical analogues9/20 cases
Reference share45.0%
Observation threshold±2%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when both thresholds are reached with repeated crossings of the reference price.
Account for frequent reversals and transaction costs, and constrain risk rather than chase direction.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 9 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
RT1 · analogue frequency rank 2
Rise and hold
Historical analogues5/20 cases
Reference share25.0%
Observation threshold±2%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when the upper threshold is reached first and held without a major reversal.
Monitor whether the rise persists; reconsider the hold scenario if the reversal grows after the upper threshold is reached.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 5 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
RT2 · analogue frequency rank 3
Rise then reversal
Historical analogues3/20 cases
Reference share15.0%
Observation threshold±2%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when an initial rise is followed by a decline from the first peak of at least the barrier width.
Assess the size of the pullback and the risk of existing exposure before chasing further gains.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 3 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
RT5 · analogue frequency rank 3
Sustained decline
Historical analogues3/20 cases
Reference share15.0%
Observation threshold±2%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when only the lower threshold is reached and the path ends at or below it.
Check conditions for reducing exposure or remaining in cash before relying on a rebound.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 3 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
RT3 · analogue frequency rank 5
Delayed rise
Historical analogues0/20 cases
Reference share0.0%
Observation threshold±2%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when the upper threshold is not reached in the first horizon but is reached in the next.
Do not immediately interpret an initial sideways move as failure; distinguish timing conditions through the end of the observation window.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 0 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
RT4 · analogue frequency rank 5
Fall then recovery
Historical analogues0/20 cases
Reference share0.0%
Observation threshold±2%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when the lower threshold is crossed first, followed by the upper threshold.
Do not assume a decline is a buying opportunity; assess new exposure conservatively until recovery is confirmed.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 0 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
RT7 · analogue frequency rank 5
Other paths
Historical analogues0/20 cases
Reference share0.0%
Observation threshold±2%
Conditional interpretation of observations · local template
Samsung Electronics changed -2.41% over the last 5 days and -2.59% over 20 days. This path applies when none of the preceding six path rules applies.
Wait for further observations without forcing a directional view; RT7 itself is not an instruction to abstain.
Historical internal paths · reference counts
This path occurred in 0 of 20 matured historical analogues for the same asset. Observations may overlap; these are not independent validation samples or a current success probability.
Fewer than 5 matching cases provide limited evidence for this path.
03 · Outcome evaluation — did the scenario lead to returns?
The outlook is formed at each asset's last observation date. Subsequent realized prices are not available in the inputs, so forecast accuracy and returns cannot yet be evaluated. Results from other periods or assets are not substituted for this report's outcomes.
Horizon
Analysis as of
Path observation window
Path outcome
Return evaluation
5 trading days
2026-10-08
10 trading days
Subsequent observations required
Not calculated
20 trading days
2026-10-08
40 trading days
Subsequent observations required
Not calculated
Costs, trading rules and evaluation scope
This view does not include a trading simulation linked to executions or actual positions. Equity curves, win rates, trade counts and returns after transaction costs are therefore not fabricated. Earlier training and retrospective research results are separately identified in the appendix.
Previously validated scenarios · including B3
These are historical index-research references, not validated performance for this stock.
View periods, Top-2 and comparisons
Model
Horizon
Top-2
Reference
Period
KOSPI · B3-style
h5
48.91%
Separately trained
2024-01-03 – 2026-08-28
KOSPI · B3-style
h20
47.06%
Separately trained
2024-01-03 – 2026-08-06
Top-2 is not a profit probability. Details include five-report outcome checks, trading results and rejected B3-2/B3-3 combinations.
Short- and medium-term trends may diverge. Small analogue samples make historical path shares unstable. Volatility does not indicate future direction. News, disclosures and earnings events are absent from these inputs and cannot be asserted as causes of price movements.
Price changes after the data date are excluded. Provider-adjusted prices and corporate-action handling have not been independently audited. Historical stock analogues are not equivalent to validated index performance.
Company selection basis
Leading common shares in the internal market-cap cache; market-cap observation date unverified and current whole-market rank not guaranteed; ?? ??? ??? Close ?? ???? ?? ??? ????? ????.
Appendix · MiDM/B3 usage and internal/external processing
MiDM: Applied · B3: Not applied
Stage
Location
Usage
Market data acquisition
External → internal
Public prices are downloaded and stored locally. Requests contain public symbols and date ranges only.
Numerical and scenario analysis
Internal
Indicators and historical analogues are calculated from stored prices. B3: Not applied.
Decision and selection
Internal
MiDM selects buy, wait, hold or sell candidates.
Text, charts and languages
Internal
Calculated values and selections populate templates, charts and tables. No external writing or translation service.
Report publication
Internal → external
Reviewed reports, aggregates and documentation are published to GitHub and Hugging Face.
Country-based language
Visitor → external
Automatic URLs query Country.is using the visitor IP. No financial inputs or report body are sent. Direct language URLs skip this lookup.
Internal calculations, prompts and raw data are not sent to external inference services. Public report content is uploaded for publication. The performance below is historical KOSPI evaluation, not the success probability of this asset.